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Free AccessLiberals Still Short Of Majority According To Latest Forecast
The latest seat projection for Canada's House of Commons from 338Canada.com and Maclean's shows Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's centre-left Liberal Party just short of the 169 seats required for an outright majority.
- Updated @338Canada Federal Model: Liberal Party of Canada: 163 (+6), Conservative Party of Canada: 114 (-7), New Democratic Party: 32 (+8), Bloc Quebecois: 26 (-6), Green Party of Canada: 2 (-1), Independent: 1. (Seat changes with 2019 Election)
Source: 338Canada.com, Macleans, MNI. N.b. Dashed line indicates 169 seats required for a majority.
- There has been sustained speculation that PM Trudeau may dissolve parliament early in the summer or autumn of 2021 to hold a snap general election in order to try to win a majority for his Liberal Party.
- Currently the Liberals govern as a minority administration supported by the left-wing New Democratic Party.
- While most polls show the Liberals with a comfortable lead over Erin O'Toole's centre-right Conservatives, the close nature of seat projections such as this could dissuade Trudeau from taking the gamble on an early vote.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.