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Low Congressional Approval May Dull Incumbency Advantage In November

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A new survey from Gallup has found that President Biden’s approval rating and the approval rating of Congress are on a similar downtrend.

  • Gallup: “Americans’ approval ratings of President Joe Biden and Congress remain well below average. Biden’s current 39% job rating is on the low end of the 37% to 44% readings he has received since September 2021, and it falls short of his 43% term average. Congress’ latest 13% approval marks its 16th consecutive rating under 21%, the average since January 2021.”
  • Gallup notes the political significance of the data: “As he tries to win a second presidential term, Biden’s low approval rating makes him vulnerable. Americans’ poor opinion of Congress may also affect their willingness to vote for incumbents this year.”
  • NPR notes on the power of the incumbecy: "Ninety-seven percent of incumbents get reelected. Last election cycle, 100% of Senate incumbents on the ballot got reelected. Not a single sitting U.S. senator was defeated last cycle."

Figure 1: Americans' Job Approval Ratings of President Joe Biden and Congress

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A new survey from Gallup has found that President Biden’s approval rating and the approval rating of Congress are on a similar downtrend.

  • Gallup: “Americans’ approval ratings of President Joe Biden and Congress remain well below average. Biden’s current 39% job rating is on the low end of the 37% to 44% readings he has received since September 2021, and it falls short of his 43% term average. Congress’ latest 13% approval marks its 16th consecutive rating under 21%, the average since January 2021.”
  • Gallup notes the political significance of the data: “As he tries to win a second presidential term, Biden’s low approval rating makes him vulnerable. Americans’ poor opinion of Congress may also affect their willingness to vote for incumbents this year.”
  • NPR notes on the power of the incumbecy: "Ninety-seven percent of incumbents get reelected. Last election cycle, 100% of Senate incumbents on the ballot got reelected. Not a single sitting U.S. senator was defeated last cycle."

Figure 1: Americans' Job Approval Ratings of President Joe Biden and Congress

Keep reading...Show less