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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
FRANCE
Political betting markets continue to show incumbent President Emmaneul Macron as the strong favourite to win re-election, but right-winger Marine Le Pen has nevertheless reached her highest implied probability of victory of the entire campaign.
- Data from Smarkets gives Le Pen an implied probability of victory of 20% according to betting markets, up from 4.4% on 23 March.
- Macron remains the strong favourite, with an implied probability of winning of 76.9%. Nevertheless, this is down from a peak of 92.6% two weeks ago today on 25 March.
Chart 1. Betting Market Implied Probability of Next French President, %
Source: Smarkets
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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