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MNI Credit Weekly: Le Vendredi Noir
MNI 5 THINGS: Canada Sept Jobs Up On Part-Time;Unemp Rste Down>
--5 Things We Learned From Canadian Labor Force Survey Data
By Courtney Tower
OTTAWA (MNI) - The following are the key points from the September
data on the Canadian Labor Force Survey released Friday by Statistics
Canada:
- The Canadian economy gained back 63,300 jobs in September,
erasing the 51,600 loss recorded in August, but mostly driven by an
increase in part-time employment. Part-time work rose by 80,200 while
full-time employment fell by 16,900 jobs, reversing the full time-part
time performances of the previous month. The unemployment rate declined
0.1 percentage point to 5.9% on the month. Analysts in a MNI survey had
expected employment to rise by 16,700 in September and the unemployment
rate to edge down to 5.9%. The participation rate edged upward to 65.4%
from 65.3%.
- Full-time employment now is up 224,000 jobs on the year, while
part-time work year-on-year is flat (-1,600). For the third quarter,
there was a gain of 66,000 jobs versus +23,200 for the second quarter.
Of these, there was a decline of 4,500 full-time jobs in the third
quarter, dropping from +6,900 in the second quarter. Part-time work, on
the other hand, was up 70,200 jobs in the third quarter, from +16,300 in
the second quarter. A positive factor for the third quarter was that
private sector employment was up 70,300 jobs versus +21,800 in the
second quarter. In September, employment rose by 95,800 among private
sector employees. Meanwhile, the number of public sector employees was
little changed.
- The picture for average hourly wages per permanent worker shows a
continuing slowing down of the rate of growth. It was +2.2% in September
versus 2.6% in August, the lowest rate of growth since September of
2017. It was the fourth monthly slowdown. The Bank of Canada would like
to see wage growth closer to 3.0% in an economy operating close to
capacity, as this one is. Hours worked, on a year-over-year basis, rose
just 0.7% in September (+1.6% in August), the smallest increase since
February 2017. Hours worked actually dropped 0.4% month over month.
- Employees in the core aged group (25 to 54) drove the September
gains. Jobs were up by 34,300 for men and by 20,000 for women. The total
unemployment rate for the core aged group fell by 0.2 percentage points
to 5.1% for men and 5.0% for women. Year-over-year, employment for men
was up by 80,000 or 1.3%, the report said, and for women employment was
up 80,000 or 1.3%. Employment "held steady for the other demographic
groups."
- The goods sector lost 22,000 jobs in the third quarter, against a
gain of 1,700 in the second quarter. Services, on the other hand, gained
87,700 jobs in the third quarter and 21,600 in the second. In September,
employment was up 44,900 in goods sectors and 18,400 in services. There
were substantial gains in construction (+28,000) finance, insurance,
real estate and leasing (+13,100) in public administration (+12,100) and
in agriculture (+9,300). There were decreases for information, culture
and recreation (-17,200), and for business, building and other support
services (-10,200). Among the provinces, the main gainers were Ontario
with an increase of 36,100 jobs, the third increase in four months, and
British Columbia (+33,300).
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; email: yali.ndiaye@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MACDS$,M$C$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.