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MNI 5 THINGS: Japan Q3 GDP Contracts On Consumption, Capex

MNI (London)
--Japan Q3 Real GDP -0.3% Q/Q; Median -0.2% 
--Japan Q3 Real GDP -1.2% Annualized; Median -0.9% 
--Japan Q3 GDP Posts 1st Q/Q Drop in 2 Quarters 
--Japan Q3 Domestic Demand Contribution -0.2 Pct Point 
--Japan Q3 Net Export Contribution -0.1 Pct Point 
--Japan Q3 Consumption -0.1% Q/Q, -0.1 Point Contribution 
--Japan Q3 Capex -0.2% Q/Q, -0.0 Point Contribution 
--Japan Q3 Private Inventory Contribution -0.1 Pct Point 
--Japan Q3 Public Investment -1.9% Q/Q, -0.1 Point Contribution 
--Japan Q2 Real GDP Revised at +0.8% Q/Q 
--Japan Q2 Real GDP Unrevised +3.0% Annualized
     TOKYO (MNI) - Japan's economy posted the first contraction in two quarters
in the July-September period, down 0.3% on quarter, or an annualized -1.2%,
weighed by private consumption, capital investment and exports following recent
natural disasters, preliminary gross domestic product data released Wednesday by
the Cabinet Office showed.
     The data came in weaker than the median economist forecast for  a
contraction of 0.2% q/q, or an annualized -0.9%. The downturn in the third
quarter followed a gain of 0.8% on quarter, or an annualized +3.0% in the second
quarter.
     The key points from the latest GDP data:
     - Private consumption, which accounts for about 60% of Japan's GDP, fell
0.1% on quarter in Q3, marking the first quarterly drop in two quarters after an
unrevised +0.7% in Q2. The median forecast was -0.2% on quarter, ranging from
0.0% to -0.5%.
     - Business investment fell 0.2% on quarter in Q3 (the median forecast was
+0.0%) for the first q/q drop in eight quarters, with the decreased reversed
from +3.1% in Q2.
     - Net exports of goods and services -- exports minus imports -- made a
negative 0.1 percentage point contribution to the total domestic output (the
median forecast was -0.1 percentage point). It was the second straight negative
contribution after pushing down Q2 GDP growth by 0.1 percentage point.
     Exports fell 1.8% on quarter in Q3 for the first drop in six quarter after
rising 0.3% in Q2 while imports fell 1.4% after rising 1.0% in the previous
quarter.
     - Private-sector inventories contributed a negative 0.1 percentage point to
Q3 GDP following +0.0 percentage point in Q2.
     - Public investment fell 1.9% on quarter following -0.3%. Its contribution
to GDP was -0.1 percentage point.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAJDS$,MAUDR$,MAUDS$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$,M$U$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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