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Free AccessMNI Analysis:Canada 3Q Capacity Utilization Reaches 10-Yr High>
By Yali N'Diaye
OTTAWA (MNI) - Canadian industries operated at 85.0% of their
capacity in the third quarter of this year, the highest rate since the
third quarter of 2007, Statistics Canada reported Friday.
The 0.7 percentage point gain marked the fifth consecutive
quarterly increase, leaving the capacity utilization rate above its
long-term average of 83.0% for the second quarter in a row.
Manufacturing industries operated at 85.2% of their capacity during
the quarter, up 0.1 percentage point from the second quarter, and the
highest rate since the fourth quarter 2000.
The capacity utilization rate has now been above its long-term
average of 81.2% for five consecutive quarters in the manufacturing
sector. The utilization rate increased in nearly half of the industries.
The data were encouraging in terms of investment prospects and
consistent with a strong economic performance in Canada, where the
annualized GDP growth rate reached 3.7% in the first quarter, 4.3% in
the second quarter, before slowing to a still decent 1.7% in the third
quarter.
With economic slack slowly being absorbed, as underlined by the
Bank of Canada, underlying inflation has been increasing. However,
inflation still remains well below 2%.
The Bank of Canada expects 2017 real GDP growth to reach 3.1%,
before slowing to 2.1% in 2018 and 1.5% in 2019.
"Economic activity is forecast to remain close to full capacity and
at times possibly modestly above," it said in its October economic
assessment, adding in its policy statement Wednesday that inflation and
growth had evolved in line with October's projections.
Economic capacity is among the key variables the central bank is
looking at to determine its next move.
Friday's capacity utilization report showed the increase was led by
construction, where the rate rose to 89.1% from 87.6%, as well as
electric generation, transmission and distribution, which, at 88.9%,
reached its highest level since the fourth quarter of 2008.
Investment in new construction rose 1.7% in the third quarter,
according to recent GDP data.
Meanwhile, oil and gas extraction was down 2.7 percentage points to
81.5%, with the agency citing lower conventional oil extraction volumes.
Within manufacturing, the capacity utilization rate for machinery
continued to increase, reaching a record 91.3%, a positive sign for
investment activity.
During the quarter, investment in machinery and equipment rose
1.5%, with a 5.5% increase in spending on industrial machinery, the
recent third quarter GDP data showed.
Transportation equipment, on the other hand, fell to 83.0% from
86.6% due to lower auto production.
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; email: yali.ndiaye@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MACDS$,M$C$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.