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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: IMF Cuts Japan 2023 GDP View to 1.3%
The International Monetary Fund's World Economic Outlook on Tuesday lowered its 2023 forecast for Japan’s gross domestic product to 1.3% from its January 1.8% estimate, but raised the 2024 growth forecast to 1% from January’s 0.9%.
The IMF expects growth in about 90% of advanced economies to decline in 2023, with unemployment predicted to increase 0.5pp above average from 2022-2024. “The baseline forecast is for global output growth, estimated at 3.4% in 2022, to fall to 2.8% in 2023, 0.1pp lower than predicted in the January 2023 WEO Update, before rising to 3% in 2024,” the IMF warned. "Policymakers have a narrow path to walk toward restoring price stability while avoiding a recession and maintaining financial stability.”
Monetary policy tightening – particularly by major advanced economies – has led to sharp borrowing cost increases, raising concerns on debts, the IMF noted. A hard landing has become a much larger risk, the fund added. "Policymakers may face difficult trade-offs to bring sticky inflation down and maintain growth while also preserving financial stability.”
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.