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MNI BRIEF: Japan Sep Wages Rise; Real Pay Falls For 6th Month

(MNI) Tokyo
(MNI) Tokyo

Real wages remained in negative territory for a six consecutive month in September amid high inflation, according to data released Tuesday by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare.

Average wages rose 1.3% y/y in September after rising 1.5% in August, with total monthly average cash earnings per regular employee increasing 2.1% y/y in September compared to 1.7% y/y growth in August.

However, real - or inflation adjusted - average wages posted a sixth straight drop, falling 1.3% y/y in September (vs. a 1.7% decline in August), indicating that households continued to be weighed down by rising living costs caused by high energy and food prices. Total CPI minus imputed rents rose 3.5% y/y in September after rising 3.5% in August.

The weak real wages data indicated that households, especially low-income ones, are being hit more by the rise in food and durable goods prices caused by the rising resource prices and the yen’s fall. (See MNI BRIEF: BOJ Minutes Show Upside Inflation Concerns)

Despite the hit to real purchasing power weak, the Bank of Japan maintains its view of a moderate recovery built on pent-up demand.

BOJ officials said wage rises are necessary to achieve price rises in a sustainable and stable manner, and they are focused on annual wage hikes next spring. (See MNI POLICY: BOJ Studies Inflation Risks; Wages In Focus)

Overtime pay rose 6.7% y/y in September, accelerating from a 4.1% increase in August, and bonuses and other special pay rose 20.3% y/y in September following August’s 3.4% increase.

Real average household spending rose 2.3% y/y in September for the fourth straight rise following a 5.1% rise the prior month, data released by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications on Tuesday showed.

In monthly terms, real average household spending rose 1.8% in September, for the first rise in three months following a 1.7% decline in August.

MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com

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