MNI BRIEF: US Jan Core CPI Hotter Than Expected; Shelter +0.6%
Supercore inflation jumped to 0.85% in January from 0.3% in December, a signal that labor-intensive sector prices are stickier than the Fed wants to see.
U.S. CPI inflation accelerated more than expected in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Tuesday, reinforcing the notion that the Federal Reserve will take its time before cutting interest rates later this year.
CPI climbed 0.305% in January and core CPI rose 0.392%, both a tenth higher than in December, bringing the 12-month rates to 3.1% and 3.9%, respectively. Core CPI was also a tenth higher than Wall Street had expected due to the shelter index jumping 0.6%. Shelter price gains contributed over two-thirds to the headline measure, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Tuesday. Treasury futures rose and the 10-year Treasury yield surged to its highest since Dec. 1. (See: MNI: US Shelter Inflation Cooldown Seen Limited In 2024)
Supercore CPI, which strips out food, energy and housing costs, rose to 0.85% in January from 0.3% in December, bringing the three-month annualized rate to 6.7% from 4% and the six-month rate to 5.6% from 4.5%, according to an MNI calculation. The measure is seen by the Federal Reserve as a proxy for how sticky services inflation might be, as these price categories reflect more labor-intensive sectors and less by supply chain issues. (See: MNI INTERVIEW: Hot US Economy Complicates Fed Cut Calculus)