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March 30, 2018 06:09 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: BOJ March Tankan Sentiment, Capex Plans
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the forecasts by economists polled by MNI
for the quarterly Bank of Japan Tankan business survey for March due out at 0850
JST on Monday, April 2 (2350 GMT on April 1).
On March 2, the BOJ said it had made slight revisions to previous Tankan
figures after conducting a routine shuffling of sample firms, which takes place
every few years, as well as introducing a new sampling method based on sales,
instead of the number of employees.
Data Median Forecast Previous Survey Previous Survey
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Old Formula New Formula
Large Mfg DI 26 25 26
Large Non-Mfg DI 24 23 25
Small Mfg DI 14 15 15
Small Non-Mfg DI 8 9 9
FY18 Capex by Big Firms (%) 0.6 n/a n/a
FY18 Capex by Small Firms (%) -19.4 n/a n/a
Sentiment Diffusion Index
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Large-mfg Large Non-mfg Small mfg Small Non-mfg
Median Forecast 26 24 14 8
High Forecast 27 26 15 10
Low Forecast 24 23 11 4
Previous Survey 26 25 15 9
No. of Responses 10 10 10 10
Mitsubishi Research 27 25 14 8
Fujitsu Research 26 24 15 9
Mizuho Research 26 23 14 8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research 26 26 14 9
BNP Paribas 26 25 13 8
Mitsubishi UFJ MS 25 24 15 9
Daiwa Research 25 25 13 8
SMBC Nikko 24 23 15 10
Japan Research 24 24 12 7
Sumitomo Mitsui AM 24 23 11 4
Fiscal 2018 Capex Plans (% y/y)
---------------------------------------------------------
Large firms Small firms
Median Forecast 0.6 -19.4
High Forecast 5.2 -15.5
Low Forecast -0.4 -22.0
Previous Survey n/a n/a
FY17 Plans in Mar 17 0.6 -22.6
No. of Responses 9 9
Mitsubishi Research n/a n/a
Fujitsu Research -0.1 -20.2
Mizuho Research 5.2 -21.2
Mitsubishi UFJ Research -0.4 -17.0
BNP Paribas 0.6 -18.6
Mitsubishi UFJ MS 4.4 -20.5
Daiwa Research -0.3 -18.5
SMBC Nikko 3.0 -15.5
Japan Research 0.9 -22.0
Sumitomo Mitsui AM 0.1 -19.4
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
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