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Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
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Emerging Markets
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Credit
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Data
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Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 9-15 Dec
MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - AUD/JPY Finds Bottom on China News
MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Mar Machinery Orders, Apr Trade, CPI
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in this week.
Date JST/GMT Data Month Median Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, May 20 0850/2350 Machinery Orders Mar -7.1 % m/m 2.3
Thu, May 21 0850/2350 Exports Apr -23.1 % y/y -11.7
Thu, May 21 0850/2350 Imports Apr -12.8 % y/y -5.0
Thu, May 21 0850/2350 Trade Balance Apr -510.0 bln yen 5.4
Fri, May 22 0830/2330 National Core CPI Apr -0.1 % y/y 0.4
Core Private-Sector Machinery Orders
-----------------------------------------------------
Change m/m %
Median Forecast -7.1
High Forecast -4.7
Low Forecast -12.0
Previous Month 2.3
Standard Deviation 2.5
No. of Responses 12
Change m/m %
Nomura Securities -4.7
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting -5.0
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities -6.2
BNP Paribas -6.4
Daiwa Institute of Research -6.5
Japan Research Institute -7.0
NLI Research Institute -7.2
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute -9.0
Norinchukin Research Institute -10.0
Shinkinchuo Kinko -11.0
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management -11.4
SMBC Nikko Securities -12.0
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Exports Imports Trade Balance
y/y % y/y % (bln yen)
Median Forecast -23.1 -12.8 -510.0
High Forecast -18.7 -6.6 -397.0
Low Forecast -25.7 -18.0 -1,051.9
Previous Month -11.7 -5.0 5.4
Standard Deviation 2.1 3.1 191.0
No. of Responses 11 11 12
Exports Imports Trade Balance
y/y % y/y % (bln yen)
BNP Paribas N/A N/A -399.7
Japan Research Institute -18.7 -11.9 -397.0
Shinkinchuo Kinko -20.5 -12.8 -460.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting -21.2 -10.7 -650.0
Daiwa Institute of Research -21.4 -14.4 -416.0
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute -22.3 -12.0 -634.5
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities -23.1 -16.3 -400.0
Nomura Securities -23.2 -6.6 -1,051.9
NLI Research Institute -23.5 -12.5 -679.6
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management -24.1 -14.9 -560.0
Norinchukin Research Institute -25.0 -18.0 -418.1
SMBC Nikko Securities -25.7 -15.8 -612.6
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
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National % y/y
Median Forecast -0.1
High Forecast 0.2
Low Forecast -0.2
Previous Month 0.4
Standard Deviation 0.1
No. of Responses 12
National % y/y
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 0.2
BNP Paribas -0.1
Daiwa Institute of Research -0.1
Japan Research Institute -0.1
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities -0.1
Nomura Securities -0.1
Norinchukin Research Institute -0.1
Shinkinchuo Kinko -0.1
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management -0.1
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute -0.2
NLI Research Institute -0.2
SMBC Nikko Securities -0.2
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.