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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan October Trade Statistics, National CPI

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the MNI economist survey median forecasts
for key Japanese data due in the coming week.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon, Nov 19  0850/2350             Exports     Oct      9.0    % y/y       -1.3
Mon, Nov 19  0850/2350             Imports     Oct     14.0    % y/y        7.0
Mon, Nov 19  0850/2350       Trade Balance     Oct    -50.0  bln yen      131.3
Thu, Nov 22  0830/2330   National Core CPI     Oct      1.0    % y/y        1.0
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                               9.0      14.0          -50.0
High Forecast                                10.6      18.8          122.4
Low Forecast                                  6.0      12.2         -219.0
Previous Month                               -1.3       7.0          131.3
Standard Deviation                            1.2       2.1          110.0
No. of Responses                               12        12             13
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                   N/A       N/A         -128.9
Nomura Securities                            10.6      18.8         -219.0
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute             10.0      17.0         -142.6
Norinchukin Research Institute               10.0      13.0          114.0
SMBC Nikko Securities                         9.8      12.7          122.4
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management              9.7      15.2          -50.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                   9.1      14.1          -20.0
Hamagin Research Institute                    8.9      13.9          -19.5
Mizuho Research Institute                     8.8      12.4           71.4
NLI Research Institute                        8.7      15.8         -147.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                8.4      12.7           26.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting        8.3      15.4         -150.0
Japan Research Institute                      6.0      12.2         -108.3
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                          1.0
High Forecast                                            1.4
Low Forecast                                             1.0
Previous Month                                           1.0
Standard Deviation                                       0.1
No. of Responses                                          13
                                              National % y/y
Hamagin Research Institute                               1.4
Japan Research Institute                                 1.1
BNP Paribas                                              1.0
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         1.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                              1.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   1.0
Mizuho Research Institute                                1.0
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           1.0
NLI Research Institute                                   1.0
Nomura Securities                                        1.0
Norinchukin Research Institute                           1.0
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    1.0
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         1.0
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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