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MNI SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP for January-March

TOKYO (MNI)

The following are the median forecasts for Japan's preliminary gross domestic product for the January-March quarter at 0850 JST on Wednesday, May 18 by economists surveyed by MNI.

The median forecasts are in quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.

DataMedianPrevious
GDP q/q-0.41.1
GDP Annualized-1.84.6
Consumption-0.52.4
Capex0.90.3
Public Investment-3.6-3.8
Private Inventories0.1-0.1
Net Exports-0.30.2
GDP
% Q/Q% Annualized
Median Forecast-0.4-1.8
High Forecast-0.1-0.2
Low Forecast-0.7-2.6
Previous1.14.6
Standard Deviation0.20.8
No. of Responses88
Japan Research-0.1-0.2
Daiwa Institute of Research-0.2-0.7
Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM-0.2-0.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute-0.4-1.7
BNP Paribas-0.4-1.8
SMBC Nikko-0.5-1.9
NLI-0.5-2.1
Mizuho Research & Technologies-0.7-2.6
ConsumptionCapexPublic Works
% Q/Q% Q/Q% Q/Q
Median Forecast-0.50.9-3.6
High Forecast-0.21.40.4
Low Forecast-1.1-0.1-4.9
Previous2.40.3-3.8
Standard Deviation0.30.50.9
No. of Responses888
Japan Research-0.41.2-2.1
Daiwa Institute of Research-0.40.9-2.7
Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM-0.2-0.1-4.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute-0.30.9-3.5
BNP Paribas-0.50.9-4.3
SMBC Nikko-0.61.4-3.6
NLI-0.70.6-2.5
Mizuho Research & Technologies-1.10.5-3.6
Private InventoriesNet Export
% Point Contribution% Point Contribution
Median Forecast0.1-0.3
High Forecast0.2-0.1
Low Forecast0.0-0.4
Previous-0.10.2
Standard Deviation0.10.1
No. of Responses88
Japan Research0.0-0.1
Daiwa Institute of Research0.0-0.2
Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM0.2-0.3
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute0.1-0.4
BNP Paribas0.0-0.2
SMBC Nikko0.1-0.4
NLI0.1-0.3
Mizuho Research & Technologies0.2-0.3
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
Private sectorDataPolicy NewsHomepageFiscalGovernment sectorAPACBank of Japan (BOJ) Market NewsForecast TableJapanBank of JapanPolicy StoryPolitical RiskStoryRegionCentral Bank News
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
Private sectorDataPolicy NewsHomepageFiscalGovernment sectorAPACBank of Japan (BOJ) Market NewsForecast TableJapanBank of JapanPolicy StoryPolitical RiskStoryRegionCentral Bank News

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