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November 06, 2019 11:08 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP for July-September
MNI (London)
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for Japan's
preliminary GDP for the July-September quarter provided by economists surveyed
by MNI.
The Cabinet Office releases preliminary Q3 GDP on Thursday, November 14,
0850 JST (2350 GMT Wednesday, November 13).
Data Median Previous
-------------------------------------
GDP q/q 0.2 0.3
GDP Annualized 0.8 1.3
Consumption 0.6 0.6
Capex 1.1 0.2
Public Investment 1.8 1.8
Private Inventories -0.2 0.0
Net Exports -0.1 -0.3
GDP
------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Annualized
Median Forecast 0.2 0.8
High Forecast 0.5 1.9
Low Forecast 0.1 0.2
Previous 0.3 1.3
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.5
No. of Responses 8 8
Mitsubishi Research 0.5 1.9
Mizuho Research 0.3 1.3
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM 0.2 0.9
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.2 0.9
Japan Research 0.2 0.7
SMBC Nikko 0.1 0.5
Mitsubishi UFJ R & C 0.1 0.4
NLI 0.1 0.2
Consumption Capex Public Works
---------------------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Q/Q % Q/Q
Median Forecast 0.6 1.1 1.8
High Forecast 0.7 2.4 2.3
Low Forecast -0.2 0.5 0.4
Previous 0.6 1.5 1.0
Standard Deviation 0.3 0.7 0.6
No. of Responses 8 8 8
Mitsubishi Research 0.6 1.2 2.1
Mizuho Research 0.5 2.4 1.9
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM -0.2 0.7 2.0
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.6 0.9 2.3
Japan Research 0.6 2.1 1.3
SMBC Nikko 0.7 0.6 0.4
Mitsubishi UFJ R & C 0.3 1.6 1.5
NLI 0.5 0.5 1.6
Private Inventories Net Export
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
% Point Contribution % Point Contribution
Median Forecast -0.2 -0.1
High Forecast 0.0 0.1
Low Forecast -0.5 -0.2
Previous -0.1 0.4
Standard Deviation 0.2 0.1
No. of Responses 8 8
Mitsubishi Research -0.2 0.0
Mizuho Research -0.3 -0.1
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM 0.0 0.1
Daiwa Institute of Research -0.2 -0.2
Japan Research -0.5 0.0
SMBC Nikko -0.4 -0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ R & C -0.2 -0.2
NLI -0.2 -0.2
The median forecasts show quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for
the contributions of private inventories and net exports, which are in
percentage points.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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