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Free AccessMNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP for October-December
The following are the median forecasts for Japan's preliminary gross domestic product for the October-December quarter provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Tuesday, Feb. 15, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Monday, Feb.14): The Cabinet Office releases preliminary Q4 GDP. The median forecasts are in quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.
| Data | Median | Previous | ||
| GDP q/q | 1.5 | -0.9 | ||
| GDP Annualized | 5.9 | -3.6 | ||
| Consumption | 2.3 | -1.3 | ||
| Capex | 0.8 | -2.3 | ||
| Public Investment | -2.8 | -2.0 | ||
| Private Inventories | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||
| Net Exports | 0.3 | 0.0 | ||
| GDP | ||||
| % Q/Q | % Annualised | |||
| Median Forecast | 1.5 | 5.9 | ||
| High Forecast | 1.8 | 7.4 | ||
| Low Forecast | 1.1 | 4.7 | ||
| Previous | 0.5 | 1.9 | ||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2 | 0.8 | ||
| No. of Responses | 8 | 8 | ||
| Daiwa Institute of Research | 1.1 | 4.7 | ||
| Mizuho Research & Technologies | 1.2 | 5.0 | ||
| Dai-ichi Life Research Institute | 1.4 | 5.7 | ||
| Mitsubishi UFJ R & C | 1.4 | 5.8 | ||
| SMBC Nikko | 1.5 | 6.0 | ||
| Mitsubishi Research | 1.5 | 6.2 | ||
| Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM | 1.6 | 6.5 | ||
| Japan Research | 1.8 | 7.4 | ||
| Consumption | Capex | Public Works | ||
| % Q/Q | % Q/Q | % Q/Q | ||
| Median Forecast | 2.3 | 0.8 | -2.7 | |
| High Forecast | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | |
| Low Forecast | 2.0 | -0.2 | -4.0 | |
| Previous | 0.9 | 2.3 | -1.7 | |
| Standard Deviation | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | |
| No. of Responses | 8 | 8 | 8 | |
| Daiwa Institute of Research | 2.0 | 0.7 | -2.8 | |
| Mizuho Research & Technologies | 2.2 | 1.6 | -4.0 | |
| Dai-ichi Life Research Institute | 2.4 | 0.5 | -3.1 | |
| Mitsubishi UFJ R & C | 2.0 | 0.8 | -2.6 | |
| SMBC Nikko | 2.7 | -0.2 | -2.5 | |
| Mitsubishi Research | 2.2 | 1.1 | -2.5 | |
| Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM | 2.6 | 0.1 | -3.6 | |
| Japan Research | 2.4 | 1.8 | -0.4 | |
| Private Inventories | Net Export | |||
| % Point Contribution | % Point Contribution | |||
| Median Forecast | 0.1 | 0.3 | ||
| High Forecast | 0.3 | 0.6 | ||
| Low Forecast | -0.2 | 0.0 | ||
| Previous | -0.3 | -0.3 | ||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1 | 0.2 | ||
| No. of Responses | 8 | 8 | ||
| Daiwa Institute of Research | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||
| Mizuho Research & Technologies | -0.2 | 0.6 | ||
| Dai-ichi Life Research Institute | 0.0 | 0.3 | ||
| Mitsubishi UFJ R & C | 0.0 | 0.5 | ||
| SMBC Nikko | 0.1 | 0.3 | ||
| Mitsubishi Research | 0.1 | 0.3 | ||
| Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM | 0.3 | 0.0 | ||
| Japan Research | 0.0 | 0.1 |
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.