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MNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: China Q2 GDP Slows, Retail Spending Soft

  • The presidential odds have swung further in favor of the Republicans and Trump over the weekend, post the assassination attempt. US Tsys opened lower, amid higher volumes, but didn't have follow through. The USD is firmer, but sits away from best levels.
  • China Q2 GDP was weaker than forecast. Rising 0.7% q/q, versus 0.9% forecast (prior was 1.6%). House prices also fell in June, albeit less than the May decline. Focus is on the Third Plenum in the first half of this week.
  • Looking ahead, the US Empire Survey is due. ECB speak from Lagarde is also out. Later on Fed speak from Chair Powell will be in focus (ahead of the blackout period).

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  • The presidential odds have swung further in favor of the Republicans and Trump over the weekend, post the assassination attempt. US Tsys opened lower, amid higher volumes, but didn't have follow through. The USD is firmer, but sits away from best levels.
  • China Q2 GDP was weaker than forecast. Rising 0.7% q/q, versus 0.9% forecast (prior was 1.6%). House prices also fell in June, albeit less than the May decline. Focus is on the Third Plenum in the first half of this week.
  • Looking ahead, the US Empire Survey is due. ECB speak from Lagarde is also out. Later on Fed speak from Chair Powell will be in focus (ahead of the blackout period).

Keep reading...Show less