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MNI Japan Survey: September Sales, Spending, Jobs, Output

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for the key Japanese
data due in this week provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Date           JST/GMT                 Data   Month   Median          Previous
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon, Oct 30  0850/2350         Retail Sales     Sep      2.5  % y/y        1.8
Tue, Oct 31  0830/2330   Household Spending     Sep      0.4  % y/y        0.6
Tue, Oct 31  0830/2330    Unemployment Rate     Sep      2.8      %        2.8
Tue, Oct 31  0850/2350    Industrial Output     Sep     -1.5  % m/m        2.0
Preliminary Retail Sales
-----------------------------------------------------
                                         Change y/y %
Median Forecast                                   2.5
High Forecast                                     3.5
Low Forecast                                      2.0
Previous Month                                    1.8
Standard Deviation                                0.5
No. of Responses                                    9
                                         Change y/y %
Japan Research Institute                          3.5
NLI Research Institute                            2.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    2.7
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            2.6
Hamagin Research Institute                        2.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                  2.4
BNP Paribas                                       2.0
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                  2.0
Mizuho Research Institute                         2.0
Real Spending (Households With Two Or More People)
----------------------------------------------------------------
                                                    Change y/y %
Median Forecast                                              0.4
High Forecast                                                1.0
Low Forecast                                                -0.2
Previous Month                                               0.6
Standard Deviation                                           0.4
No. of Responses                                              13
                                                    Change y/y %
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                             1.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                                  0.9
NLI Research Institute                                       0.8
Barclays Securities                                          0.7
Mizuho Research Institute                                    0.7
Norinchukin Research Institute                               0.6
Japan Research Institute                                     0.4
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                               0.3
SMBC Nikko Securities                                        0.3
BNP Paribas                                                  0.2
Hamagin Research Institute                                   0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                       0.1
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                            -0.2
Unemployment Rate
--------------------------------------------
                                           %
Median Forecast                          2.8
High Forecast                            2.8
Low Forecast                             2.7
Previous Month                           2.8
Standard Deviation                       0.1
No. of Responses                          13
                                           %
BNP Paribas                              2.8
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute         2.8
Daiwa Institute of Research              2.8
Japan Research Institute                 2.8
Mizuho Research Institute                2.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities           2.8
NLI Research Institute                   2.8
SMBC Nikko Securities                    2.8
Barclays Securities                      2.7
Hamagin Research Institute               2.7
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting   2.7
Norinchukin Research Institute           2.7
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management         2.7
Preliminary  Industrial Production
-----------------------------------------------------
                                         Change m/m %
Median Forecast                                  -1.5
High Forecast                                    -1.0
Low Forecast                                     -3.2
Previous Month                                    2.0
Standard Deviation                                0.6
No. of Responses                                   13
                                         Change m/m %
Daiwa Institute of Research                      -1.0
Barclays Securities                              -1.1
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                 -1.2
Mizuho Research Institute                        -1.2
Japan Research Institute                         -1.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                 -1.4
BNP Paribas                                      -1.5
Norinchukin Research Institute                   -1.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting           -1.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                   -1.6
SMBC Nikko Securities                            -1.7
NLI Research Institute                           -2.0
Hamagin Research Institute                       -3.2
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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