MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-Denmark Election Briefing

Executive Summary

• General election to take place on 1 November following Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s early dissolution of parliament following the breakdown of her leftist minority government.
• Election too close to call at present, with the main left-wing and right-wing blocs of parties polling closely, with the insurgent centrist Moderate party of former Prime Minister of Lars Løkke Rasmussen potentially set to emerge as kingmaker.
• The election also sees another new force making a splash, with the right-wing populist Denmark Democrats – styled on the neighbouring Sweden Democrats – having the potential to become the largest party on the right of the political spectrum.
• Even if the right-wing bloc of parties comes to power, Denmark is unlikely to experience a notable Eurosceptic shift given the presence of pro-EU centrist parties in the grouping. Nor would a change in government result in major fiscal shifts. Both main parties of the centre-right have pledged to protect public sector employment if they take power.

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-Denmark Election Briefing.pdf