MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Mexico Election Preview
Claudia Sheinbaum, hailing from AMLO's left-wing nationalist MORENA sits in pole position to win the 2 June presidential election, although some late opinion polling has shown pro-business opposition alliance candidate Xóchitl Gálvez gaining as the vote approaches
Mexico holds its general election on Sunday 2 June to elect the successor to President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, commonly known as ‘AMLO’, who has governed for the past six years. AMLO leaves office with something of a mixed legacy, with cartel-related violence still commonplace nationwide and the economy recording sluggish growth. However, his approval ratings (66% in April) remain very high in comparison with other world leaders that have been in power as long as he has. This is indicative that the public remains supportive of his domestic-focused left-wing nationalist policy agenda.
- In this preview we include explainers on how the election will work and who the main candidates are, scenario analysis with assigned probabilities, a financial markets and macro outlook, a commodities overview, and key views from sell-side analysts on the election outcome.
For full preview please see PDF below