MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 04-05-22

Executive Summary:

• The November general election is now expected to pivot strongly towards reproductive rights and it is likely to foster a divisive and unpredictable campaign season.
• Senator Maggie Hassan (D-NH) said that the 2022 midterms with be the ‘most important election of our lifetimes.’
• The Senate will likely vote on a bill to codify Roe next week. It is expected to fail as Senators Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Krysten Sinema (D-AZ) will decline to bypass the filibuster.
• 14:30 ET 19:30 BST: Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell will hold a press conference following the Federal Open Markets Committee announcement this afternoon.
• Former President Donald Trump won a significant victory yesterday in the form of JD Vance in the Ohio Republican primary election.
• US Secretary of State Antony Blinken will deliver a speech tomorrow, at George Washington University, outlining US policy towards China.
• Poll of the Day: A Morning Consult report has shown that a majority of US voters support sanctions on Russia, even if those sanctions cause hardship at home.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 04-05-22 .pdf