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Executive summary:

  • Temperatures have cooled on Capitol Hill after a remarkable eight days which saw the US military engage four “high altitude objects” flying in US airspace.
  • The diplomatic spat between the US and China will likely persist as Beijing ratchets up counteraccusations of espionage and US officials concede that the three most recent downed objects may have been “benign” objects unconnected with China or surveillance.
  • Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) has announced she will pass on running for re-election in 2024, opening up a competitive Democrat primary for the highly desirable California seat.
  • US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin yesterday voiced concern over dwindling Western munitions stockpiles as the US and allies struggle to meet the requirements of an increasingly attritional war.
  • Reps Mark Takano (D-CA) and French Hill (R-AZ) will focus on energy, trade, infrastructure, and security when they lead a bipartisan congressional delegation to Japan and South Korea during the upcoming Congressional recess.
  • US officials have thrown cold water on optimism that China may drive new negotiations to restrain Iran’s nuclear programme.
  • Poll of the Day: Democrats are increasingly likely to embrace the apparent inevitability of President Biden's re-election bid.

Please find the full article attached below:

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 15-02-23 .pdf

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