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MNI POLITICAL RISK - Few Super Tuesday Surprises Expected

Executive Summary:

  • Voters in 15 states, and one territory, will vote today in contests to decide their party’s nominee for the presidency. Former President Donald Trump is expected to win most, if not all states, against former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.
  • On the Democrat side, President Biden, running largely unchallenged by a credible opponent, will continue to rack up delegates towards his nomination. In the wake of the large ‘uncommited’ vote in Michigan last week, the scale of protest votes and overall turnout may provide some more data on the health of his campaign.
  • Israeli War Cabinet member Benny Gantz will continue his ‘unsanctioned’ trip to Washington D.C. today, meeting with Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY).
  • High-profile Democrat Reps, Katie Porter (D-CA) and Adam Schiff (D-CA,) are contesting a primary today for the 2024 California Senate race.
  • President Biden is reportedly preparing to pivot to a more “aggressive” and "personal" approach to taking on former President Donald Trump.
  • Biden’s Competition Council will today announce three new actions to, “promote competition and lower costs,” and release a new report showing that, “work to eliminate junk fees will save Americans more than $20 billion each year.”
  • The United States Supreme Court ruled unanimously yesterday that states cannot unilaterally bar former President Donald Trump from the 2024 presidential ballot, clearing another potential obstacle for Trump’s re-election bid.
  • Poll of the Day: Biden isn't benefiting from an improved economic outlook.

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MNIPOLRISKUSDaily050324.pdf


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