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Nevada Senate Race Shaping Up As Tightest Of Midterms


The Nevada Senate race between incumbent Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) and Republican challenger Adam Laxalt has emerged as the tightest of this midterm cycle.

  • According to FiveThirtyEight, the race is a dead heat with recent polls leaning to both candidates, but within the polling margin of error.
  • AP: "In an interview, Cortez Masto sidestepped questions about her fragile political standing. She acknowledged “there’s more work to be done” on the economy in a working-class state in which gasoline remains over $5.40 per gallon."
  • The Nevada race is also a key test of the political impact of the Supreme Court decision to override Roe vs Wade.
  • Democratic strategist James Carville says that the focus on abortion is leaving Democrats open to attack on other issues: “A lot of these consultants think if all we do is run abortion spots we win [...] I don’t think so [...] if you just sit there and they’re pummeling you on crime and the cost of living, you’ve got to be more aggressive than just yelling abortion every other word.”

Figure 1: Nevada Senate Race, Aggregated Polling Over Time, % (FiveThirtyEight)

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