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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 9-15 Dec
NYMEX HO (V19): Retracing Monday's........>
OIL TECHS: NYMEX HO (V19): Retracing Monday's spike
*RES 4: $2.1940 - 2.000 projection of Sep 3 - Sep rally from Sep 12 low
*RES 3: $2.1513 - 1.618 projection of Sep 3 - Sep rally from Sep 12 low
*RES 2: $2.0999 - High Sep 17
*RES 1: $2.0277 - Intraday high during the US session, Sep 17
*PRICE: $1.9922 @ 07:05 BST Sep 18
*SUP 1: $1.9679 - Low Sep 17
*SUP 2: $1.9624 - High Oct 10 and initial gap low
*SUP 3: $1.9168 - High Sep 12
*SUP 4: $1.8938 - Trendline support drawn off the Sep 3 low
HO pulled back sharply yesterday after a Reuters report that Saudi Arabian oil
output is to return to normal levels quicker than originally thought. With the
market unwinding Monday's spike, the focus is on $1.9624, Sep 10 high. A print
of this level would fill and initial gap in the chart. A deeper sell-off would
open $1.8910, Sep 13 high to fill the entire gap in the chart left by Monday's
spike. $2.0277, an intraday high during the US session is initial resistance.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.