June 14, 2024 10:40 GMT
OI Data Points To Meaningful Long Setting On Thursday
US TSY FUTURES
The combination of yesterday’s rally (driven by softer-than-expected PPI data, a well received 30-Year Tsy auction and heightened political uncertainty surrounding France) and preliminary OI data, points to net long setting across the curve on Thursday.
- A little over $10mn of net DV01 adjusted OI exposure was added across the curve on the day, with the most pronounced net long setting coming in TY futures. Adjustments across the remainder of the curve were relatively sizeable as well, outside of a small movement in net positioning in TU futures.
- A reminder that Tsy futures positioning screened as net short across the board in last week’s CFTC CoT (albeit with likely skew from basis trade positions noted), with this week’s inflation data outcomes and the French political situation allowing bonds to recover from last Friday’s post-NFP sell off.
13-Jun-24 | 12-Jun-24 | Daily OI Change | OI DV01 Equivalent Change ($) | |
TU | 4,008,797 | 4,007,871 | +926 | +35,775 |
FV | 6,321,800 | 6,264,833 | +56,967 | +2,440,886 |
TY | 4,419,534 | 4,377,465 | +42,069 | +2,724,228 |
UXY | 2,053,997 | 2,037,648 | +16,349 | +1,482,567 |
US | 1,662,394 | 1,646,308 | +16,086 | +2,159,673 |
WN | 1,686,134 | 1,678,067 | +8,067 | +1,679,252 |
Total | +140,464 | +10,522,381 |
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