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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
SPAIN
Latest opinion polling from Spain shows that a potential alliance of leftist parties could perform well enough to deny a majority for the parties of the right at the next legislative election due to take place by Dec 2023 at the latest.
- The 'Sumar' (Unite) electoral alliance is not a prompted answer in most polls at present, with the main leftist Unidas Podemos - which is the junior partner to PM Pedro Sanchez' centre-left Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) in the governing minority coalition - the party most often offered as an option for respondents.
- The 40db/El Pais December poll has the following median projected seats: Popular Party (PP): 115, PSOE: 96, Sumar (inc. Podemos & Mas Pais): 57, Vox: 43, Others 38, Citizens: 1.
- The same poll measuring Podemos and Mas Pais separately has the following seat projections: PP: 120, PSOE: 112, Others: 42, Vox: 41, Podmos: 30, Mas Pais: 4, Citizens: 1.
- Should the parties of the right (PP, Vox) fall short of a majority the prospect of them gaining power would be very slim. The 'other' parties are almost all regionalist parties of the centre-left/left, that would likely find it impossible to work with the far-right Vox, a staunch opponent of any devolution of powers away from Madrid.
Chart 1. 40db/El Pais Opinion Poll, Dec 2022, Projected Seats
Source: El Pais, 40db
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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