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Round Trip From New Cycle High

JPY

Broader demand for the greenback drove USD/JPY to a new 20-year high of Y131.35 on Monday, before a pullback in U.S. Tsy yields translated into selling pressure in London hours. The rate gave up all of its earlier gains and finished slightly below neutral levels. The yen eventually took the lead in G10 FX space amid continued risk aversion stemming from concerns about the costs of China's Covid-Zero policy and a suite of geopolitical risks.

  • USD/JPY has turned bid this morning and last deals at Y130.51, up 22 pips on the day. Topside focus falls on yesterday's peak and a break here would expose the 1.00 proj of the Feb 24 - Mar 28 - 31 price swing at Y131.96. Bears look for a retreat past Y128.63, which limited losses on May 4.
  • Household spending headlines the local data docket today, with BoP current account balance, Eco Watchers Survey & the summary of opinions from the BoJ's most recent monetary policy meeting all due Thursday.

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