MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, December 11

MNI BRIEF: Chinese Rail Passenger Numbers Break Record

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY37.3 Bln via OMO Wednesday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1843 Weds; -1.22% Y/Y

MNI BRIEF: Brazil Not Even Close To Fiscal Dominance - David

CORRECTED-MNI BRIEF: Brazil Inflation Rises To 4.87% In Nov

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: 4.25% Jul-34 Gilt Due Wednesday

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: 12-Month BOT Auction on Wednesday

MNI: JAPAN NOV CORP GOODS PRICE INDEX +3.7% Y/Y; OCT REV +3.6%

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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Tester Re-Election Announcement Boosts Democrats Chances In 2024

US

Democrats have received a boost today with moderate Senator Jon Tester (D-MO) announcing on Twitter that he will run for re-election in 2024.

  • Tester said: "It's official. I'm running for reelection."
  • Tester’s Montana seat is one of the most vulnerable of the 2024 cycle and without his incumbency, and name recognition, the seat would likely flip to the GOP.
  • The 2024 Senate map strongly favours the GOP: 23 Democrats are up for reelection against just 11 Republicans. With very few pickup opportunities, Democrats will likely need to hold all three highly vulnerable seats, Tester in Montana, Joe Manchin (D-WV) in West Virginia, and Sherrod Brown (D-OH) in Ohio, to have a chance at retaining control of the Senate in 2025.
  • Democrats have an additional headache in Arizona where local Democrats are considering a challenge to former Democrat, now Independent incumbent, Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ). Any move to unseat Sinema may split the Democrat vote and hand the advantage to the GOP.
  • Democrats one-seat buffer is also imperiled by the ongoing health concerns facing Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) who is receiving treatment for depression and lingering complication from a stroke.
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