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Free AccessUndecided Voters Key For Biden In November
A new survey from Emerson College Polling has found that 46% of voters support former President Donald Trump, whilst 44% support President Joe Biden, in a hypothetical 2024 presidential election matchup.
- Emerson notes: “Ten percent are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, the race splits evenly: 50% support Trump and 50% Biden.”
- Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said, “Voters under 30 break for Biden by 15 points, with a quarter undecided. When these undecideds are pushed, the group breaks for Biden by 26 points, 63% to 37%, reflective of his margin in 2020 with this group.”
- The Emerson Poll appears to support a theory that some of Biden's poor polling is due to a soft support amongst Democrat leaning voters, particularly young voters, rather than a surge of support for Trump.
Figure 1: Hypothetical 2024 Presidential Election Ballot
Source: Emmerson College Polling
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.