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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: Tsy Curves Reverse Course Ahead Wed CPI
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS:Waiting For Next Inflation Shoe Drop
Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Dec 2024
USD Index Steadies After Spell of Weakness, NFP On Tap
- Markets trade rangebound ahead of the NFP release, consolidating after sharp volatility in equity markets after the European close on Thursday, as a ratchet higher in Middle-East tensions undermined risk sentiment. The surge in oil prices continues to provide a tailwind for commodity-tied currencies, tipping NOK to the top of the G10 pile, keeping EUR/NOK within range of first support at yesterday's lows of 11.5840.
- The USD Index is more stable after three consecutive sessions of declines, leaving the currency poised for post-jobs report volatility. 103.922 marks the first downside level, the 50-dma, which provided firm support during Thursday trade, so could mark an important level ahead of the weekend.
- CHF is the weakest performer on an intraday basis, however EUR/CHF remains below yesterday's cycle high and bull trigger of 0.9849. Clearance here opens the cross to the highest levels since May last year and 0.9880.
- Focus turns to the March nonfarm payrolls report, at which markets expect 214k jobs added this month, along with a tick lower in the unemployment rate by 0.1ppts. Earnings are expected to slow further, with the Y/Y AHE seen at 4.1% vs. 4.3% previously. The Canadian jobs release is also due, at which markets expected a +25k net change in employment.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.