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Free AccessWedbush Securities' Scott....>
US TSYS/OVERNIGHT REPO: Wedbush Securities' Scott Skyrm eyed the U.S. Treasury
General Collateral Yield Curve and said the "term GC curve is relatively steep
after December, reflecting the probability of about a 37% chance of a tightening
by December 13th. Given the flatness of the curve after December, it means the
market isn't pricing additional tightenings, just the chance of one tightening.
But if the Fed does not move in December, I expect the market to continue to
price the chance of a tightening at the next FOMC meeting with a press
conference."
- He adds, "and if there is no tightening at that meeting, then the next FOMC
meeting
with a press conference. So here's my Fed call: I believe there is no tightening
in December and then the market continues to price the chance of successive Fed
tightenings (which do not happen) at the successive FOMC meetings through 2018."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.