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Woolworths (Baa2, BBB; S) reports in-line 1H24 results, guidance weak, CEO departs

CONSUMER STAPLES

Leverage fell from 2.6* to 2.5*, no maturities till FY25 ($400m in public debt), generated ~$1.4b in FCF - final dividend (for FY23) and repayment of lease liabilities left net $127m in cash flows over the half.

Little change in BS strategy & outlook only on easing in headline growth; "EBIT growth in H2 expected to be below H1" - some of this already in analyst forecast. CEO departure and slightly below consensus dividend likely adding to equities sell-off - stock among worst performers in €IG basket.

The single € SLB 28's have tightened significantly since we flagged it as cheap ~2 weeks ago - it was at +110 then and has moved to +91 now (b/a was 8 wide). We don't see a firm skew for it to move tighter from here & focus after CEO resignation seems to be shifting to the continuing senate inquiry into pricing from the 2 major grocers (Woolies & Coles) -no regulation change as of yet (inquiry launched in early Dec) & as noted in earnings call seems to be shared impact for now; "inquiry has led to a material drop in overall reputation and brand NPS scores for the major supermarket chains in Australia". Mmgt downplayed any link to the CEO departure; “We started the process really last year,”

Equity takes; {NSN S96KLET0G1KW <GO>}

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