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(Z3) Post-NFP Recovery Builds

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS
  • RES 4: 109-24+ 50-day EMA
  • RES 3: 108-26+ High Sep 22
  • RES 2: 108-12 20-day EMA
  • RES 1: 107-30+ High Oct 9
  • PRICE: 107-12+ @ 13:21 BST Oct 10
  • SUP 1: 106-03+/00 Low Sep 4 / Round number support
  • SUP 2: 105-17 2.0% lower 10-dma envelope
  • SUP 3: 105-14+ 3.0% Lower Bollinger Band
  • SUP 4: 104-26 2.00 proj of the Jul 18 - Aug 4 - Aug 10 price swing

Markets traded firmer into the Monday close, with prices fading - but only slightly - off the week’s high. This builds the post-NFP recovery further. Last week’s lows are yet to be re-tested, and a further stabilisation in prices could show signs of a near-term reversal. For now, a bear trend in Treasuries remains intact, with the pressure going through on the back of the NFP release making for a strong negative close. Last week’s fresh cycle lows confirm a resumption of the downtrend and maintain the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Support at 107-07, the Sep 28 low, has been cleared signalling scope for the 106-00 handle next.

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