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Ballot Underway As Members Vote On Whether FDP Should Remain In Gov't

GERMANY

A survey is underway among the ~76k members of the pro-business liberal Free Democratic Party (FDP) to gain their views on whether the party should remain as part of the federal governing coalition. The vote runs until 1 Jan 2024, and while non-binding in nature could have a significant impact on the stability of the German gov't. A strong vote against remaining in the 'traffic light' coalition, alongside the centre-left Social Democrats and environmentalist Greens, on a high turnout would place significant pressure on party leader and German Finance Minister Christian Lindner.

  • Die Welt reports: "The initiative followed an open letter from 26 state and local politicians from the FDP who, after the poor election results in Hesse and Bavaria, had demanded that the FDP reconsider its coalition partners." Letters have been published publicly from senior FDP officials on both sides of the argument, highlighting the significant internal divisions.
  • The vote comes in the immediate aftermath of a messy and combativebudget negotiation process that has hit public support levels for the governing parties. The FDP continues to barely exceed the 5% nationwide vote threshold, while the Greens and SPD record support at multi-year lows. The main opposition centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the right-wing nationalist Alternative for Germany (AfD) have proved the main beneficiaries, with the latter's support at record-highs.
Chart 1. General Election Opinion Polling, % and 6-Poll Moving Average

Source: FGW, INSA, Forsa, Infratest dimap, YouGov, Verian, Wahlkreisprognose, GMS Allensbach, MNI

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