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EURHUF Testing Low of MT Upward Trending Channel

HUNGARY
  • EURHUF has been consolidating lower this week, currently testing the low of its MT upward trending channel.
  • A break below that level would open the door for a move down to 393.
  • Key support to watch on the downside stands at 390.
  • On the topside, first resistance to watch stands at 400, followed by 402.90.
  • With HUF trading close to all-time lows against the Euro and the USD, it is currently significantly ‘undervalued’ using either a fair value approach or historical ranges.
  • For instance, our BEER FX model shows that HUF is currently trading 30% below its ‘fundamental’ value (vs. USD).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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