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Henry Hub Regains Ground

NATGAS

Henry Hub front month is approaching the intraday highs of yesterday of $2.798/MMBtu, as continued support comes from lower production levels year on year and recovering LNG feedgas supplies.

  • Expectations of a below-average inventory injection last week will also be supportive.
  • US Natgas JUN 24 up 4.3% at 2.79$/mmbtu
  • US Natgas NOV 24 up 3.8% at 3.32$/mmbtu
  • US domestic natural gas production was yesterday estimated unchanged at 99.9bcf/d according to Bloomberg and still below average output of 101bcf/d in May 2023.
  • US terminal feedgas flows are today estimated at 12.96bcf/d according to Bloomberg with flows to Sabine Pass and Cameron still below normal levels.
  • Domestic natural gas demand is today at 67.3bcf/d according to Bloomberg compared to the seasonal normal of just over 62bcf/d.
  • The latest 6–14-day NOAA forecast continues to show above normal temperatures on the Gulf Coast and with western areas also turning warmer relative to the outlook yesterday.
  • The rally in US natural gas futures is likely to be short-lived with a possible return to $2.50/MMBtu levels before more clarity appears regarding summer weather, Citi Research said in a note, cited by Dow Jones.
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