MNI BRIEF: Aussie Unemployment at 3.7%, 30bp Tighter Than Survey
Australian unemployment and employment figures have printed stronger than expected.
Australia’s unemployment rate fell 0.4 basis points to 3.7% in February, missing the market’s 4.0% expectation, while employment grew by 116,000, higher than the 40,000 forecasted, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed Thursday.
The Reserve Bank of Australia had expected unemployment to reach 4.2% by Q2 and peak at 4.4% by mid-2025. Governor Michele Bullock noted following the RBA Board’s decision to hold the cash rate at 4.35% this week that the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment is likely between 4-4.5%. (See MNI RBA WATCH: Bullock Stresses Data, Switches To Neutral Tone)
The ABS noted in its release unemployment had fallen back to levels seen six months prior. “The large increase in employment in February followed larger-than-usual numbers of people in December and January who had a job that they were waiting to start or to return to,” the ABS said. “This translated into a larger-than-usual flow of people into employment in February and even more so than February last year.”