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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 21-07-22

Executive Summary:

  • US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin convened the fourth meeting of the Ukraine Contact Group yesterday as fears mount that political risk in Italy and the UK may affect the pro-Ukraine alliance.
  • Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally Adeyemo said that Russia’s move to purchase military hardware from Iran is a sign that sanctions are beginning to constrain the Russian war effort
  • State Department Spokesperson Ned Price said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's comments on Russian annexations "don't tell us anything we didn’t know."
  • The Treasury Department hopes a global price cap on Russia oil will be in place by December.
  • The January 6 Committee will hold the last of its planned summer hearings this evening.
  • Senate negotiators are lagging behind their House colleagues in FY23 funding.
  • House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has thrown her support behind CHIPS Plus.
  • President Joe Biden announced executive actions on climate from a closed-down coal power plant in Massachusetts but stopped short of declaring a climate emergency.
  • The United States and Canada have challenged Mexico over plans to accelerate nationalisation of its energy market.
  • Biden will hold a call with Chinese President Xi Jinping within the next 10 days.
  • Poll of the Day: 50+ aged voters are swinging the 56 most competitive House races to the GOP.


Generic Ballot in 56 most competitive House races (AARP)


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