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US TSYS: More short-covering and dip buying after core August PCE price
inflation data. However BMO's Ian Lyngen pointed out while "core PCE came in at
just +0.1% MoM vs. +0.2% expected in August, which brought the YoY level down to
1.3% for the lowest print since Oct 2015."
- He adds that "we're cognizant that the Fed has been quick to dismiss softer
inflation and in that context, we're not surprised that the Treasury market's
response has been limited. To be fair, 10-year yields are at the lows of the day
at 2.303%, but it's clear the market's focus is elsewhere at this point."
- Lyngen said that "we've been on about the relevance of geopolitics and
month-end considerations, and expect that will remain the 'big show' today. We'd
still lean bullishly on the Treasury market from here into the weekend, with an
eye on resistance at the 74-day (10-year note) moving-average of 2.23%."