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NEER Dips 0.50% As Yuan Lags Broader USD Sell-Off, Caixin Services PMI Out Today

CNH

MNI (Australia) USD/CNH finished lower for Thursday's session, near 7.3265, a modest 0.12% gain in CNH terms. The currency's overall beta to USD moves remains very low. Dips to 7.3220 remained supported post yesterday's Asia close. USD/CNY finished up at 7.3143, while the CNY NEER (J.P. Morgan index) fell nearly 0.50% to 123.16, as the yuan continued to lag the post FOMC USD sell-off.

  • CNH continues to lag the pull back in US-CH yield differentials. An offset remains from weaker equity trends. To recap, the CSI 300 lost near 0.50% yesterday, we did see a better tone to the Golden Dragon index in US Thursday trade though, up over 2% (but still down for the week).
  • Today on the data front we have Caixin services PMI print for October. The market consensus is 51.0 (although there is only 7 survey respondents). The prior read was 50.2. The composite Caixin PMI will also print for October, the prior read being 50.9. Preliminary Q3 current account data is also scheduled for today.
  • Elsewhere, an ex PBOC advisor stated that China growth next year could be stronger than 2023 growth (see this BBG link).
  • Surging short term rates remains the other focus point, following the October end liquidity crunch (see this RTRS link).

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