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Free AccessPC Defeat Of Liberals In Nova Scotia Will Raise Concerns For PM Trudeau
In regional elections to the Nova Scotia House of Assembly, the opposition centre-right Progressive Conservatives (PC) secured a shock win over the incumbent Liberals in the 17 August provincial election. Coming just over a month before the snap federal election taking place on 20 September, the result may cause some concern in the governing Liberal Party of Canada of PM Justin Trudeau.
- While a provincial vote is very different to a federal one, the Liberals had retained a sizeable (if narrowing) lead in opinion polls in the maritime province ahead of the election, only to see its position as the largest party wiped out by a PC surge not picked up upon by polling.
Chart 1. Nova Scotia Election Results, Seats
Source: NovaScotiaElections, MNI
- Liberal premiers are now only in charge of two provincial houses, those of the Yukon and Newfoundland and Labrador, with Progressive Conservatives (UCP in Alberta) now in control in six provinces, the NDP in control in British Columbia, while Saskatchewan and Quebec under control of regional parties.
- Federal election poll: LPC: 33% (-4), CPC: 28%, NDP: 22% (+2), BQ: 7% (+2), GPC: 5%. Abacus Data, 16/08/21. Chgs w/11 Aug
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.