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SAGBs Tread Water Ahead of FOMC, CPI/PPI Set to Rise Towards SARB Threshold Limit

SOUTH AFRICA
  • SAGBs tread water around the open with 2Y yields +2.0bp higher, having sold off sharply in Friday’s session (+14.4bp) – rising towards 5.10.
  • W/w the SAGB curve mostly higher across the breadth with 15-30Y yields up +5-9bp on week.
  • Focus for SAGBs will be on the Fed’s taper discussion, with markets anticipating a faster process potentially ending around March/April 2022 – clearing the way for earlier (and potentially more) hikes than anticipated.
  • Focus will be on the dot plot for median expectations of 2 or 3 hikes in 2022.
  • SAGB’s should remain vulnerable to volatility in UST’s this week with key Sup/Res in the 10Y at 9.852 & 10.00 respectively; 30Y key Sup/Res at 10.50 & 10.80.

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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