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September Economic Activity Scheduled At 1130GMT/0730ET

CHILE
  • Chile markets will reopen following the local holiday on Wednesday and given the greenback weakness and outperformance for Latin American currencies during yesterday’s session, the Chilean peso should be supported. Having also closed below a psychological pivot of 900 on Tuesday, USDCLP could well extend its short-term downward momentum, with the Peso’s strength underpinned by a relatively hawkish central bank last week, bolstered by the moves to contain local currency weakness.
  • This thesis could only be challenged by a particularly weak economic activity (Imacec) figure. Monthly data should show activity is levelling off this year after a sharp downturn in 2022, although risks remain to the downside. Data point to a small quarter on quarter advance after -0.3% growth in 2Q — narrowly avoiding recession. Data will cross at the bottom of the hour:
    • Sept. Economic Activity YoY, est. -0.5%, prior -0.9%; MoM, est. 0.2%, prior -0.5%.
    • Separately, President Gabriel Boric meets with US President Joe Biden in Washington.

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