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STIR: $-Bloc Year-End Easing Scaled Back

STIR

U.S. STIR firmed overnight as banking crisis concerns receded on news that U.S. authorities were expanding emergency lending to banks. Also helping shore up confidence in the U.S. banking system was news that First Citizens would buy Silicon Valley Bank with support from the FDIC.

  • By the close, U.S. STIR had firmed with a 50/50 chance of a 25bp hike in May priced and expected year-end easing reduced to 74bp from 95bp at Friday’s close.
  • At one stage on Friday, a full 25bp cut had been priced for the June meeting in the wake of European bank weakness.
  • In line with U.S. developments, year-end easing expectations have been scaled back across the $-Bloc with pricing 10bp, 8bp and 6bp firmer for respectively AU, CA and NZ.

Figure 1: $-Bloc STIR: Terminal Rate Expectations & Year-End Pricing


Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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