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About Us
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI US CPI Preview: Setting The Tone For 2025
MNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: NY Fed Inflation Expectations Gaining
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Tsy Ylds Drift Higher Ahead CPI/PPI
STIR: ECB Implied Rates Little Changed By Panetta, Euribor Tracking Bunds
ECB-dated OIS were little moved by unsurprisingly dovish comments from Bank of Italy’s Panetta, with 68bps of easing still priced through the remainder of 2024.
- Panetta said the ECB were likely heading for a “phase of loosening”, though his remarks were mostly focused on non-monetary policy matters.
- Euribor futures are flat to +2.5 through the blues, having moved alongside Bunds throughout the day.
- Tomorrow remains the key regional focus, with August flash PMIs and Q2 negotiated wages due. The Eurozone-wide PMIs are not expected to deviate much from July’s readings, which were weaker-than-expected at the time.
- Meanwhile, we have noted a wide range of analyst estimates for negotiated wages. See here for more colour there: https://marketnews.com/eurozone-data-wide-range-of-estimates-for-q2-negotiated-wages-on-thursday
Meeting Date | ESTR ECB-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Effective ESTR Rate (bp) |
Sep-24 | 3.410 | -25.4 |
Oct-24 | 3.280 | -38.4 |
Dec-24 | 2.988 | -67.6 |
Jan-25 | 2.807 | -85.7 |
Mar-25 | 2.584 | -108.1 |
Apr-25 | 2.455 | -120.9 |
Jun-25 | 2.295 | -137.0 |
Jul-25 | 2.220 | -144.4 |
Source: MNI/Bloomberg. |
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.